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The No. 11 seed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and the No. 6 seed Arkansas State Red Wolves will face off in a 2022 Sun Belt Tournament battle at 6 p.m. ET on Thursday at the Pensacola Bay Center. Louisiana Monroe is 13-17 while Arkansas State is 17-10. These teams split their regular-season series, with the road team winning on both occasions. 

The Red Wolves are favored by 6.5 points in the latest Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 141.5. Before entering any Louisiana Monroe vs. Arkansas State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Monroe. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State:

  • Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Monroe spread: Arkansas State -6.5
  • Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Monroe over-under: 142 points

What you need to know about Arkansas State

Arkansas State heads into the Sun Belt Tournament 2022 with some momentum after winning two of its final three games of the regular season. The Red Wolves beat UT Arlington on the road and then beat Appalachian State at home last Friday. They lost the first meeting against the Mountaineers this season and were down by four points at halftime on Friday, but they put together a strong second half in the win. 

Freshman forward Norchad Omier leads Arkansas State with 17.2 points and 11.9 rebounds per game. Former University of Arkansas guard Desi Sills is also scoring in double figures, averaging 12.8 points. Senior guard Marquis Eaton is adding 11.7 points and 3.4 assists per game. 

What you need to know about Louisiana Monroe

Louisiana Monroe went on a three-game winning streak in early February that included a 60-59 road win at Arkansas State. The Warhawks struggled down the stretch, though, losing five straight games to close the regular season. They are coming off a thriller at Georgia Southern, losing by six points in overtime. 

Senior guard Andre Jones leads Louisiana Monroe with 15.3 points and 3.9 assists per game. Senior guard Russell Harrison has been a key player as well, scoring 13.0 points and grabbing a team-high 5.7 rebounds. The Warhawks have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against Arkansas State. 

How to make Louisiana Monroe vs. Arkansas State picks

The model is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Louisiana Monroe vs. Arkansas State? And which side covers well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks.