The No. 2 seed Charleston Cougars meet the No. 4 UNC-Wilmington Seahawks on Tuesday in the championship matchup of the 2023 CAA Tournament. The contest will take place at the Entertainment & Sports Arena in the nation's capital, with Charleston bringing a nine-game winning streak to the table. Charleston is 30-3 overall and 18-2 against CAA foes, including two wins over UNC Wilmington during the regular season. UNC Wilmington is 24-9 overall and 14-6 in conference action, headlined by a win over the top-seeded Hofstra Pride in the semifinal on Monday.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Cougars as 10-point favorites for this 7 p.m. ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 141 in the latest UNC Wilmington vs. Charleston odds. Before locking in any Charleston vs. UNC Wilmington picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now the model has zeroed in UNC Wilmington vs. Charleston and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Charleston vs. UNC Wilmington:

  • UNC Wilmington vs. Charleston spread: Charleston -10
  • UNC Wilmington vs. Charleston over/under: 141 points
  • UNC Wilmington vs. Charleston money line: Charleston -550, UNCW +400
  • UNCW: The Seahawks are 8-10-2 against the spread in CAA games
  • CHAR: The Cougars are 10-9-1 against the spread in CAA games
  • UNC Wilmington vs. Charleston picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | College of Charleston Cougars vs. UNC-Wilmington Seahawks

Why UNC Wilmington can cover

UNC Wilmington is keyed on offense by sophomore forward Trazarien White. He produced 21 points and 11 rebounds in the semifinal win over Hofstra, and White leads the team with 14.2 points and 5.9 rebounds per game this season. UNC Wilmington is in the top 20 nationally in free throw creation rate this season, and the Seahawks make 75.1% of free throw attempts. On defense, UNC Wilmington has the ability to stack up against the high-powered Charleston offense. 

The Seahawks are in the top four of the CAA in overall defensive efficiency, with UNC Wilmington leading the conference in creating a turnover on 21.5% of defensive possessions. UNC Wilmington also sits atop the league in assist rate allowed, and the Seahawks are sound in contesting 3-point attempts. Opponents are shooting just 30.1% from beyond the arc against UNC Wilmington in conference play, and the Seahawks also secure 73.6% of available defensive rebounds.

Why Charleston can cover

Charleston is paced by its offense, which leads the CAA in efficiency and sits in the top 15 nationally in multiple categories. The Cougars are averaging 81.3 points per game, operating at a sky-high pace and converting 10.2 3-pointers per game. Charleston also secures more than 35% of its missed shots on the offensive glass and, in conference play, the Cougars are shooting 52.8% inside the arc with an impressive assist percentage. 

UNC Wilmington has bottom-five marks in 2-point defense, free throw rate allowed and block rate this season on defense, and Charleston pairs its explosive offense with a stingy defense. The Cougars are No. 2 in the CAA in defensive efficiency, leading the conference in free throw rate allowed. Charleston holds opponents to 29.9% shooting from 3-point range in conference play, and the Cougars are No. 2 in the CAA in defensive rebound rate this season. UNC Wilmington is also below-average in turnover rate and assist rate among CAA teams, making Charleston's assignment a bit easier on the defensive end.

How to make Charleston vs. UNC Wilmington picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 143 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine

So who wins UNC Wilmington vs. Charleston? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.