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USATSI

Saturday's college basketball slate begins with a late morning matchup in the nation's capital. The Georgetown Hoyas host the Green Bay Phoenix in a non-conference matchup at Capital One Arena. Georgetown finished the 2021-22 season with a 6-25 record but won its opener on Tuesday over Coppin State. Green Bay was 5-25 last season and began the 2022-23 campaign with a road loss to Indiana State on Monday.

Tip-off is at 11 a.m. ET in Washington, D.C. Caesars Sportsbook lists Georgetown as a 17-point home favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 144.5 in the latest Green Bay vs. Georgetown odds. Before you make any Georgetown vs. Green Bay picks and college basketball predictions, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $1,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Georgetown vs. Green Bay, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Green Bay vs. Georgetown:

  • Georgetown vs. Green Bay spread: Georgetown -17
  • Georgetown vs. Green Bay over/under: 144.5 points
  • Georgetown vs. Green Bay money line: Hoyas -2400, Phoenix +1100
  • Green Bay: The Phoenix are 6-8-1 against the spread in the last 15 road games
  • Georgetown: The Hoyas are 7-10-1 against the spread in the last 18 home games
  • Georgetown vs. Green Bay picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Green Bay can cover 

Green Bay's offense should benefit from Georgetown's shaky defense. The Hoyas ranked outside the top 300 nationally in shooting efficiency allowed last season, with opponents converting nearly 37% of 3-point attempts. Georgetown was also very poor on the defensive glass, grabbing only 70.1% of available rebounds, and the Hoyas ranked No. 348 in the nation in assist rate allowed. On the other end, Green Bay had a few strengths in its season opener, including a 85.7% defensive rebound rate, 17.9% block rate, and only eight free throw attempts allowed.

Last season, Green Bay was above-average nationally in assist rate allowed and 3-point attempt rate allowed, with Georgetown bringing tangible offensive weaknesses. The Hoyas were in the bottom 10 of the country in 2-point shooting, making only 43.3% of attempts, and Georgetown had 11.4% of shots blocked last season. Georgetown also assisted on only 47.5% of field goals, and the Hoyas turned the ball over on 18.8% of offensive possessions.

Why Georgetown can cover

Georgetown has a substantial talent advantage to go along with the edge of playing at home in the nation's capital. The Hoyas are also much better on offense, with Georgetown scoring 99 points in its opener and posting above-average metrics on offense last season. Georgetown landed well ahead of Green Bay in adjusted offensive efficiency, and the Hoyas had a very strong 32.3% offensive rebound rate. Georgetown converted 34.2% of 3-point attempts, better than the national average, and the Hoyas also shot more than 74% at the free throw line.

Green Bay also has defensive shortcomings, including a defensive efficiency mark that ranked outside the top 300 nationally. The Phoenix had a paltry 7.6% steal rate last season, and opponents shot 53.6% on 2-point attempts against Green Bay. With Georgetown's athleticism and physicality advantages, the Hoyas should be in an advantageous position.

How to make Green Bay vs. Georgetown picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, with no player projected to reach 17 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can see the picks here.

So who wins Georgetown vs. Green Bay? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Green Bay vs. Georgetown spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.