The Entertainment & Sports Arena in Washington DC hosts the 2023 CAA Tournament, with semifinal action set for Monday. To open the doubleheader, the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks take on the Hofstra Pride with a spot in the conference title game on the line. UNC Wilmington defeated Drexel in come-from-behind fashion on Sunday, improving to 23-9 this season. Hofstra is 24-8 overall with a 17-2 mark in conference play and 12 consecutive wins. The winner advances to face the winner of Towson vs. Charleston on in the finals on Tuesday.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Pride as 7-point favorites for this 6 p.m. ET tip on CBS Sports Network. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 132.5 in the latest UNC Wilmington vs. Hofstra odds. Before locking in any Hofstra vs. UNC Wilmington picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters championship week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Hofstra vs. UNC Wilmington and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for UNC Wilmington vs. Hofstra:
- UNC Wilmington vs. Hofstra spread: Hofstra -7
- UNC Wilmington vs. Hofstra over/under: 132.5 points
- UNC Wilmington vs. Hofstra money line: Hofstra -335, UNCW +260
- UNCW: The Seahawks are 7-10-2 against the spread in CAA games
- HOF: The Pride are 16-3 against the spread in CAA games
- UNC Wilmington vs. Hofstra picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why UNC Wilmington can cover
UNC Wilmington brings intriguing metrics to the table on both offense and defense. The Seahawks are in the top 20 nationally in free throw creation on offense, and UNC Wilmington is No. 2 in the CAA in free throw accuracy, making 75% of attempts. UNC Wilmington also has a path to second-chance points in this matchup, with Hofstra struggling to a very poor defensive rebound rate (70%) this season.
The Seahawks also project well on the defensive glass against Hofstra, and the Pride have the worst free throw creation rate in the CAA this season. UNC Wilmington leads the conference in turnover creation, forcing a giveaway on more than 21% of possessions, and the Seahawks sit atop the CAA in assist rate allowed. Opponents are making fewer than 31% of 3-point attempts against UNC Wilmington, and the Seahawks secure more than 73% of available defensive rebounds.
Why Hofstra can cover
Hofstra is very strong on offense, with top-three marks in myriad categories among CAA teams. The Pride are even better on defense, as evidenced by allowing only 46 points in the quarterfinal win over William & Mary. Hofstra leads the CAA in defensive efficiency and points allowed, giving up only 60.2 points per contest in conference play. The Pride also lead the conference in opponent shooting, yielding 44% from 2-point range and 28% from 3-point distance. Hofstra blocks 13% of shots, No. 1 in the CAA, and the Pride have top four-marks in turnover creation and free throw prevention.
That defensive resistance sets a strong baseline, and Hofstra has a pair of dynamic and experienced guards to engineer the offense. Aaron Estrada and Tyler Thomas each scored 22 points in the win over William & Mary, and Estrada is averaging 20.4 points and 5.5 rebounds per game this season. Hofstra leads the CAA in shooting efficiency, and the Pride take care of the basketball in committing a turnover on fewer than 15% of offensive possessions.
How to make Hofstra vs. UNC Wilmington picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 143 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins UNC Wilmington vs. Hofstra? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.