NCAA Basketball: Kansas State at Kansas
USATSI

The No. 10 Texas Longhorns will try to remain atop the Big 12 standings when they face the No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks on Monday night. Texas has won four straight conference games, including a 69-66 win over then-No. 7 Kansas State on Saturday. Kansas had its two-game winning streak snapped in a 68-53 loss at then-No. 13 Iowa State on Saturday, despite being a 1-point favorite in that game. This is the first of two meetings between these teams, as they will square off on March 4 to close the regular season.

Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Jayhawks are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Kansas vs. Texas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 146. Before entering any Texas vs. Kansas picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 14 of the season 57-37 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,000 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Kansas vs. Texas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Texas vs. Kansas:

  • Kansas vs. Texas spread: Kansas -3.5
  • Kansas vs. Texas over/under: 146 points
  • Kansas vs. Texas money line: Kansas -195, Texas +162
  • Kansas vs. Texas picks: See picks here

Why Kansas can cover

Kansas continues to be a tough team to beat at home, having won 17 of its last 18 games at Allen Fieldhouse. The Jayhawks notched a 90-78 win over then-No. 7 Kansas State in their most recent home game, covering the 8.5-point spread in the process. Senior guard Kevin McCullar Jr. recorded a double-double with 16 points and 13 rebounds in that win, while star forward Jalen Wilson had 20 points and eight rebounds. 

The Jayhawks cannot afford another loss in conference play right now, so they will be motivated to get back on track against the top team in the standings. Texas is having to go to one of the toughest environments in college basketball two days after an emotional comeback road win at Kansas State, making this a tall order. Kansas has won 10 of its last 11 home games against Texas and is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings overall. 

Why Texas can cover

Kansas has lost four of its last five conference games and continues to be overvalued by the betting market. The Jayhawks failed to cover the spread for the sixth time in seven Big 12 games on Saturday, trailing in the opening minute and never leading again in their 68-53 setback at Iowa State. Wilson is not getting enough help from his teammates, as he was the only player on the team to score in double figures in the loss to the Cyclones.

Texas is trending in the opposite direction, having covered the spread in four of its last five games. The Longhorns have gone 7-1 in their last eight Big 12 games to take the lead atop the conference standings, coming from behind to take down Kansas State on Saturday. Senior guard Marcus Carr leads Texas with 16.4 points and 4.0 assists per game, while Sir'Jabari Rice (11.1), Timmy Allen (10.7) and Tyrese Hunter (10.3) are each scoring in double figures as well. 

How to make Kansas vs. Texas picks

The model has simulated Texas vs. Kansas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Kansas vs. Texas? And which side of the spread is hitting over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 57-37 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.