The 2022 Sun Belt Conference Tournament begins on Thursday at Pensacola Bay Center in Florida. The opener of a quadruple header pits the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns against the UT Arlington Mavericks in a matinee tilt. Louisiana is 13-14 overall and 8-9 in Sun Belt play this season. UT Arlington is 11-17 overall and 7-10 in conference games, with a 2-0 record against the Ragin' Cajuns.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Ragin' Cajuns as 3.5-point favorites for this 12:30 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 134.5 in the latest Louisiana vs. UT Arlington odds. Before making any UT Arlington vs. Louisiana picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the red-hot computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on UT Arlington vs. Louisiana, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions for the Sun Belt Tournament 2022. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Louisiana vs. UT Arlington:
- UT Arlington vs. Louisiana spread: Louisiana -3.5
- UT Arlington vs. Louisiana over-under: 134.5 points
- UT Arlington vs. Louisiana money line: Louisiana -170, UT Arlington +145
- UTA: The Mavericks are 9-8 against the spread in Sun Belt games
- LOU: The Ragin' Cajuns are 7-10 against the spread in Sun Belt games
Why UT Arlington can cover
UT Arlington's defense is generating havoc this season. The Mavericks are No. 2 in the Sun Belt in steal rate at 11.4 percent, and UT Arlington produces a turnover on 20.2 percent of defensive possessions. UT Arlington is also above-average in free-throw prevention among Sun Belt teams, and the Mavericks are blocking 10.2 percent of shot attempts. Louisiana's offense ranks near the bottom of the Sun Belt in turnover rate at 21.8 percent, and no team commits more live-ball turnovers than the Ragin' Cajuns, with opponents producing a steal on 12 percent of possessions.
The Ragin' Cajuns are also below-average in free-throw accuracy, which could be pivotal in a close game. UT Arlington is also above-average in ball security, assist percentage, and offensive rebound rate, with Louisiana landing below the Sun Belt average in free-throw prevention and 3-point defense.
Why Louisiana can cover
The Ragin' Cajuns create real opportunities on the offensive glass. Louisiana is in the top 20 of the country in offensive rebound rate, securing 34.6 percent of missed shots in Sun Belt play. The Ragin' Cajuns are also No. 2 in the conference in free-throw rate, No. 3 in 2-point accuracy and an above-average overall mark in offensive efficiency. Louisiana is also facing a UT Arlington team that ranks No. 10 in the Sun Belt in shooting efficiency allowed, and the Mavericks have an ugly 68.2 percent defensive rebound rate.
On the other end, Louisiana is above-average in 2-point defense, defensive rebound rate and blocked shot rate. UT Arlington is shooting only 46.7 percent on 2-point attempts and 71.1 percent from the free-throw line this season, and the Mavericks are No. 9 in the Sun Belt in free-throw creation rate.
How to make UT Arlington vs. Louisiana picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 136 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Louisiana vs. UT Arlington pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UT Arlington vs. Louisiana? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the UT Arlington vs. Louisiana spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.