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The No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels open the 2022-23 season with lofty expectations following their run to the NCAA Tournament title game last year. They were voted first in the AP Top 25 and the coaches' poll, along with being picked to win the ACC. UNC-Wilmington was picked to finish fifth in the Colonial Athletic Association preseason poll after winning a share of the regular-season title last year. 

Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Tar Heels are favored by 23 points in the latest North Carolina vs. UNC Wilmington odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 150.5. Before entering any UNC Wilmington vs. North Carolina picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $1,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UNC vs. UNC Wilmington. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for UNC Wilmington vs. UNC:

  • North Carolina vs. UNC Wilmington spread: North Carolina -23
  • North Carolina vs. UNC Wilmington over/under: 150 points
  • North Carolina vs. UNC Wilmington money line: North Carolina -4500, UNC Wilmington 1500
  • North Carolina vs. UNC Wilmington picks: See picks here

Why North Carolina can cover 

North Carolina is the top ranked team in college basketball for good reason, as it returns four starters and 71.2% of its scoring production from last year's team that made a run to the national title game. The Tar Heels went 15-5 in ACC play last year and recently beat Division II Johnson C. Smith in a 101-40 exhibition blowout. They are led by ACC Preseason Player of the Year Armando Bacot, who averaged team-highs in points (16.3) and rebounds (13.1) last season. 

The Tar Heels also return several experienced guards in Caleb Love and RJ Davis, who were both double-digit scorers in 2021-22. Love scored 20 points and dished out eight assists in the exhibition game, picking up where he left off last season. North Carolina covered the spread in six consecutive games last season, and the returning production gives the Tar Heels a huge advantage early in the campaign. 

Why UNC Wilmington can cover

North Carolina has been the most talked about team in the country throughout the offseason, so the Tar Heels are not going to be undervalued on Monday night. Their opponent very well could be, though. UNC Wilmington was on fire to close out the 2021-22 season, winning nine of its final 10 games en route to a CBI postseason tournament title. The Seahawks won a share of the regular-season title in their conference as well. 

They covered the spread in eight of their final nine games and return two starters from last year's team. UNC Wilmington also added several key players from the transfer portal, giving the Seahawks some additional weapons heading into the season. The Seahawks were not scared to go on the road last year, covering the spread in nine of their last 10 road games. 

How to make North Carolina vs. UNC Wilmington picks

The model has simulated UNC Wilmington vs. UNC 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins North Carolina vs. UNC Wilmington? And which side of the spread hits 60% percent of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the UNC Wilmington vs. North Carolina spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $1,200 on its college basketball picks the last six years, and find out.