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A Texas-sized showdown takes center stage on Tuesday when the Texas Southern Tigers and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders tip off the First Four in the 2022 NCAA Tournament. Texas Southern (18-2) received an automatic berth to the NCAA Tournament after winning the SWAC Tournament championship. The Islanders, meanwhile, defeated Southeastern Louisiana 73-65 for the Southland Conference title, earning an automatic bid in the process.

Tipoff from UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Tigers as 3.5-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 136 in the latest Texas A&M-CC vs. Texas Southern odds. Before making any Texas Southern vs. Texas A&M-CC picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas A&M-CC vs. Texas Southern in the NCAA Tournament 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Texas Southern vs. Texas A&M-CC:

  • Texas A&M-CC vs. Texas Southern spread: Texas Southern -3.5
  • Texas A&M-CC vs. Texas Southern over-under: 136 points
  • Texas A&M-CC vs. Texas Southern money line: TXSO -170, TXAMCC +145
  • TACC: The Islanders are 7-1 against the spread in the last eight games
  • TS: The Tigers are 4-4-1 against the spread in the last nine games

Why Texas A&M-CC can cover 

The Islanders feature a plethora of playmakers, including Isaac Mushila. The junior forward leads the team in scoring (13.5 points per game) and rebounding (9.5), while knocking down 53.5 percent of his field goals. He's recorded 13 double-doubles this season, a big reason why the Islanders are in the NCAA Tournament.

Terrion Murdix is also a major contributor for the Islanders, averaging 9.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. He's scored in double figures in each of his last six outings, which includes a 13-point performance in the Southland Conference title game. Plus, Texas A&M-CC is 10-1 in its last 11 meetings against an opponent from the SWAC. 

Why Texas Southern can cover

The Tigers played a very difficult schedule by mid-major standards, and Texas Southern netted an impressive road victory in Gainesville over the Florida Gators. Beyond that experience, Texas Southern has an offensive profile that is effective in key areas. The Tigers are in the top 25 nationally in offensive rebound rate, securing nearly 34 percent of missed shots. Texas Southern is also elite at avoiding blocked shots, with only 6.4 percent of shots rejected, and the Tigers are No. 1 in the SWAC in 2-point accuracy at 51.4 percent. 

Texas Southern finished No. 3 in its conference in adjusted offensive efficiency, and Texas A&M-CC has a couple of glaring weaknesses. The Islanders are No. 348 in the country in free-throw rate allowed, potentially paving the way to extra opportunities for Texas Southern. Texas A&M-CC is also near the basement of the country with only a 5.1 percent block rate on defense, giving Texas Southern license to attack the rim.

How to make Texas Southern vs. Texas A&M-CC picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 140 points. It also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Texas A&M-CC vs. Texas Southern? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.