The Yale Bulldogs aim to keep the positive momentum flowing as they visit the Dartmouth Big Green on Tuesday. Yale is 15-10 overall this season and 7-1 in the last eight games. The Bulldogs are also 9-2 in Ivy League games, including a win over Dartmouth on Feb. 4. Dartmouth is 4-7 in conference play and 7-15 overall after a two-game winning streak.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bulldogs as three-point road favorites for this 6 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 133.5 in the latest Yale vs. Dartmouth odds. Before making any Dartmouth vs. Yale picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Yale vs. Dartmouth, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Yale vs. Dartmouth:
- Yale vs. Dartmouth spread: Yale -3
- Yale vs. Dartmouth over-under: 133.5 points
- Yale vs. Dartmouth money line: Yale -150, Dartmouth +130
- YALE: The Bulldogs are 6-5 against the spread in conference games
- DART: The Big Green are 7-3-1 against the spread in Ivy League games
Why Yale can cover
Yale has advantages on the offensive side, but the Bulldogs truly excel on defense. Yale leads the Ivy League in adjusted defensive efficiency and shooting efficiency allowed, with a league-leading mark of 29.3 percent allowed on 3-point attempts. Opponents are also shooting only 50.3 percent on 2-point attempts against Yale this season. The Bulldogs lead the Ivy league in block rate, rejecting more than 10 percent of shot attempts, and Dartmouth has notable offensive weaknesses.
The Big Green are at the bottom of the Ivy League in shooting efficiency, making 48.5 percent of 2-point shots and 30.8 percent on 3-point shots. Dartmouth assists on only 38 percent of field goals, worst in the Ivy League, and the Big Green are securing only 24.1 percent of available offensive rebounds. Dartmouth is also outside the top 330 in the country in free-throw creation rate, making it easier for Yale to contest shots without penalty.
Why Dartmouth can cover
Dartmouth is very strong in key areas, including top-two marks in the Ivy league in offensive rebound rate and free-throw accuracy. The Big Green are securing 26.8 percent of available rebounds on the offensive glass and making 76 percent of free-throw attempts this season. Yale is potent on defense, but the Bulldogs are below-average in steal rate (8.5 percent) and free-throw prevention.
On the other end, Dartmouth lands above the Ivy League average in turnover creation rate (19.5 percent), defensive rebound rate (75.4 percent), block rate (9.2 percent) and free-throw rate allowed. Yale is outside the top 250 in the country in offensive rebounding, gathering only 25 percent of missed shots, and the Bulldogs are making only 32.6 percent of 3-point attempts this season.
How to make Yale vs. Dartmouth picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point, projecting 139 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Yale vs. Dartmouth pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Yale vs. Dartmouth? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Yale vs. Dartmouth spread you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.
