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The North Carolina Tar Heels hope to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they host the Virginia Tech Hokies on Saturday afternoon. UNC was a 2.5-point favorite against Notre Dame last week, but it came up short in a 45-32 final. Virginia Tech is making its second road trip of the season after losing to Old Dominion in Week 1.

Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Tar Heels are 9-point favorites in the latest North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 56.5. Before entering any Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UNC vs. Virginia Tech. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Virginia Tech vs. UNC:

  • North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech spread: North Carolina -9
  • North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech over/under: 56.5 points
  • North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech picks: See picks here

Why North Carolina can cover

Virginia Tech has been a disappointment so far this season, losing to Old Dominion and getting blown out by West Virginia. The Hokies also failed to cover the 40-point spread in a 27-7 win over Wofford in Week 3, so they have been overvalued by the betting market. They have only covered the spread once in their last five games and are facing a North Carolina team that is motivated to respond from its first loss of the year.

The Tar Heels have one of the top offenses in the country, scoring at least 32 points in all four of their games. They have faced several tough defenses along the way, so they should have no problem lighting up the scoreboard on Saturday afternoon. North Carolina put up 56 points in a home win over Virginia Tech in 2020, and a similar result would not be surprising this time around. 

Why Virginia Tech can cover

Virginia Tech is not going to be overly fatigued coming into this game, as it has been at home for the past three weeks. Notre Dame gave the Hokies the blueprint to beating North Carolina, which is to play solid defense. The Tar Heels struggle defensively, allowing at least 24 points in all four of their games. 

They might have a strong offense, but they have only scored enough to cover the spread three times in their last 12 games. Virginia Tech's ground attack is led by running back Keshawn King, who is averaging 6.2 yards per carry. The Hokies can easily stay within this large spread if they control the tempo and keep the ball away from North Carolina's dangerous offense. 

How to make North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech picks

The model has simulated Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.