It's a star studded showdown in the Lone Star State as No. 17 TCU travels to battle Texas at 4:30 p.m. ET. This exciting Big 12 contest involves two teams looking to start conference play with a victory. In the latest TCU vs. Texas odds, the Horned Frogs are three-point favorites, while the over-under on total points scored is 49, down two from the opener. Texas is coming off an impressive victory over USC last week, however TCU has beaten the Longhorns in four consecutive contests. Before you lock in any TCU vs. Texas picks, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. In the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors. 

It made some huge calls in Week 3 of the 2018 season as well, nailing BYU against the spread (+23.5) and on the money line (+950) against Wisconsin, as well as LSU against the spread (+10) and on the money line (+315) at Auburn. It finished the week a blistering 31-16 against the spread overall and nailed 10 of its 13 top-ranked picks. Anybody following it finished way, way up. 

Now, the model has honed in on TCU vs. Texas and locked in against-the-spread, over-under, and money line picks. We can tell you the model is loving the under, saying it hits in 68 percent of simulations. It's also locked in a spread pick that hits over half the time. That one is only available at SportsLine. 

The model knows TCU lost by 12 to No. 4 Ohio State last week. However, TCU led at halftime and extended its lead to eight in the third quarter before Ohio State went on a game-ending 27-7 run. 

TCU impressed despite the loss. Running back Darius Anderson had 154 yards and two touchdowns, averaging a monstrous 12.8 yards per carry. TCU had seven tackles for loss -- the same as Ohio State -- six pass deflections and three hurries. 

But just because TCU had a chance to put away a top-five team doesn't mean the Horned Frogs will cover against Texas. 

Texas will be playing with a renewed sense of confidence after knocking off Southern California last week 37-14. That huge victory helped erase the memories of a rough season-opening loss to Maryland and a shaky Week 2 performance against Tulsa. 

The Longhorns gave up over 300 yards through the air to USC quarterback JT Daniels, but their run defense put forth a dominant effort, holding USC to negative yardage on the day. If Texas is able to make TCU one-dimensional, the Longhorns will have a great shot at covering or even winning this one outright. 

So what side of TCU-Texas is a must back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of TCU vs. Texas hits in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model on a red-hot 31-16 run, and find out.