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Player Outlook
Bryce Miller is a fascinating pitcher to study because we expect to see rookie pitchers struggle in some areas, but in this case, there is not any one thing that sticks out as the source of his 4.32 ERA. Miller was stingy with walks, was tough to hit, and stranded runners at a league-average rate. His extreme flyball outcomes left him more susceptible to homers than other starters, but even his 1.2 HR/9 ratio was not terribly out of whack for someone with his volume of flyball outcomes. Simply put, this was a solid foundational beginning to what could be a bright pitching future if he can fine-tune some things. His whiffiest pitch is his fastball, which speaks to a need for him to find a secondary offering that can get swings and misses when needed. A six-pitch repertoire may be better suited if tuned down to four pitches. Seattle has steadily increased his workload, so 170+ innings is there for the taking if he is ready for it.

Fantasy Stats

Year fpts
Fantasy Points
fpts/g
Fantasy Points per Game
ip
Innings Pitched
w
Wins
l
Losses
sv
Saves
so
Strikeouts
bb
Base on Balls (Walk)
era
Earned Run Average
whip
Walks and Hits Allowed Per Inning
2024 0.00 0.00
2023 281.511.3 131.3 8 7 119 26 4.32 1.14
Projections Powered by
Fantasy Performance by Week
95%
Roster
75%
Start
#53
SP Rank

Fantasy News

  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Best spring outing Tuesday

    Miller allowed an earned run on four hits and two walks over 3.2 innings in a Cactus League loss to the Athletics on Tuesday. He struck out six. The hard-throwing right-hander put together what may have been his most impressive outing of spring yet, recording his best strikeout total across three starts. Miller surrendered three earned runs on five hits and a walk over 4.1 innings while recording five strikeouts over his first two spring outings, making Tuesday's performance a step in the right direction. Miller gained valuable experience last season as a rookie, logging 131.1 innings across 25 starts. He'll slot into the No. 4 spot in a talented Mariners starting rotation to open the season while working on incorporating a splitter to complement his mid-90s fastball and sinker/two-seamer.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Introducing splitter in '24

    Miller added a splitter to his repertoire this offseason, Brandon Gustafson of 710 ESPN Seattle reports. Miller picked up some valuable experience last season beginning with his May 2 MLB debut, finishing the 2023 campaign with an 8-7 record, 4.32 ERA and 1.14 WHIP across 25 starts. The right-hander's fastball clocked in at an impressive 95.1 mph as well, and while he primarily relied on his four-seam fastball and a sinker/two-seamer as a rookie, he decided to add the splitter after seeing rotation mates Logan Gilbert and George Kirby enjoy plenty of success with it last season. "I thought it was something that would be really good for how I throw and for what I needed," Miller said. " ... It took me a month or two just to find a grip that I was comfortable with and one that I was able to get consistent shapes with."
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Falters in fourth inning

    Miller (8-7) allowed four runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four over four innings, taking the loss Wednesday versus the Astros. Miller was solid through three innings, but he gave up a solo shot to Yordan Alvarez and a three-run home run to Mauricio Dubon in the fourth. Miller has faded toward the end of the campaign, allowing 15 runs over his last 18.2 innings, including four homers over his last two starts. He's likely done for the regular season with a 4.32 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 119:26 K:BB through 131.1 innings over 25 starts in his rookie year.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Roughed up by Rangers

    Miller (8-6) allowed six runs on six hits and a walk over 4.1 innings Friday, striking out two and taking a loss against Texas. Most of the damage against Miller came in the first two innings when he allowed a solo shot to Corey Seager and a three-run homer to Evan Carter. Miller had given up just one home run over his previous eight starts. During that stretch, he posted a strong 2.98 ERA and 38:7 K:BB over 42.1 frames. Miller's season ERA climbed to 4.17 through 127.1 innings. He's currently lined up for a home matchup with the Astros next week for his final regular-season start.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Strong outing Saturday

    Miller allowed four hits and a walk while striking out four over 5.1 scoreless innings in a no-decision versus the Dodgers on Saturday. This was Miller's sixth scoreless outing of the year and his second since the start of August. He was solid, throwing 54 of 86 pitches for strikes, but he's now gone five starts without a win. The rookie right-hander is at a 3.88 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 113:24 K:BB through 123 innings over 23 starts this season. Miller is projected to make his next start on the road versus the Rangers in what will be a key matchup in the AL wild-card race.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Falls to Rays

    Miller (8-5) took the loss Sunday, allowing five runs on nine hits and a walk over five innings in a 6-3 loss against the Rays. He struck out seven. Tampa got to Miller early Sunday, scoring three runs in the first inning, leading to the rookie right-hander's first loss since Aug. 1. Miller hadn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his previous six starts, working to a 2.53 ERA in that span. Overall, his ERA now sits at 4.05 with a 1.11 WHIP and 109:23 K:BB across 117.2 innings this season. Miller will look to right the ship in his next outing, currently scheduled as a home matchup with the Dodgers.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Short outing Friday

    Miller allowed three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out six over four innings Friday, taking a no-decision versus the Royals. Miller was fairly sharp, throwing 62 of 83 pitches for strikes, but the Royals were able to make some solid contact against him. This was the shortest of his eight starts since the All-Star break, and just the third time in that span he's given up three or more runs. The rookie right-hander is now at a 3.90 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 95:21 K:BB through 101.2 innings over 19 starts. He's projected to make his next appearance at home in another favorable matchup against the Athletics.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Impressive in win

    Miller (8-4) earned the win Friday, allowing two hits and one walk over 6.1 scoreless innings against Houston. He struck out two. It was the first quality start for Miller since June 18, but the third consecutive start in which he's allowed one or fewer earned runs. Miller was efficient in tossing 82 pitches while working into the seventh but was pulled with one out in the inning following an error by shortstop Jose Caballero. The Mariners bullpen prevented any more damage and preserved the win for the rookie right-hander. Miller is projected to next take the hill on the road in a matchup against the White Sox.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Tagged for six runs in win

    Miller (7-3) earned the win Wednesday, allowing six runs on eight hits over 5.2 innings against the Twins. He struck out seven. It wasn't Miller's best outing on paper, but he got just enough run support in the 7-6 win while racking up his highest strikeout total since he punched out 10 in his major-league debut in May. The 24-year-old Miller had allowed just one run in his previous two starts (10.1 innings) out of the All-Star break. His ERA now sits at 3.96 with a 1.00 WHIP and 71:15 K:BB across 14 starts (75 innings) this season. He's lined up for a home start next week against the Red Sox.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Steady in no-decision

    Miller allowed a run on three hits and two walks while striking out six over 5.1 innings in a no-decision versus the Blue Jays on Friday. Miller limited the damage to Danny Jansen's fifth-inning solo home run. Since returning from a finger blister, Miller has allowed just one run, eight hits and three walks over 10.1 innings across his two starts. The right-hander owns a 3.50 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 64:15 K:BB through 69.1 innings over 13 starts this season. He's lined up for a road start in Minnesota next week.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Due back following All-Star break

    Mariners manager Scott Servais said last Saturday that Miller (finger) will come back from the 15-day injured list and return to "the backside of our rotation coming out of the [All-Star] break, for sure," MLB.com reports. Servais' comments are somewhat of an about-face, considering that he told Janie McCauley of the Associated Press on July 4 that Miller wasn't going to pitch "for a while" after he was placed on the injured list a day earlier with a right middle finger blister. The rookie apparently overcame the blister issue quicker than initially anticipated, as he was throwing off flat ground from around 60 feet last weekend. The Mariners will likely re-evaluate Miller over the upcoming weekend and perhaps observe him throwing a bullpen session before signing off on his return from the IL. Assuming he's good to go when the Mariners require a fifth starter, Miller would line up to make his return to the rotation Tuesday versus the Twins at T-Mobile Park.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Placed on IL with blister

    Miller was placed on the 15-day injured list Monday with a right middle finger blister, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports. Miller had to depart his start last Friday against the Rays with the blister and had been looking iffy for his next scheduled outing. Given that, it makes sense to go ahead and put him on the IL with the All-Star break approaching. Miller will be eligible to return July 16 against the Tigers during the Mariners' first series of the second half.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Leaves with blister on finger

    Miller left Friday's start against the Rays with a blister on his right middle finger. Miller went 3.1 innings and allowed two runs before being removed due to the blister. The right-hander should be considered day-to-day, but he has a chance to make his next scheduled start before the All-Star break.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Leaves with injury

    Miller left Friday's start against Tampa Bay with an apparent finger injury, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports. He allowed two runs on one hit and one walk in 3.1 innings with six strikeouts before leaving. Miller was visited by trainers early in the fourth inning to check on an issue with a finger on his right (pitching) hand, and after he allowed a two-run homer to Randy Arozarena, he was removed from the game. Matt Brash has taken over on the mound.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Struggles with command

    Miller did not factor into the decision Saturday, allowing three runs on six hits and three walks over 4.1 innings in a 6-4 loss to the Orioles. He struck out four. Miller struck out three of the first five batters he faced and appeared to be on track for another solid outing. However, he began to struggle with his command in the second, needing 25 pitches to get out of the inning while surrendering one run on two hits along with one walk. It was more of the same in the third as the rookie walked the leadoff batter and later gave up a solo homer to Anthony Santander to tie the game at 2-2. Miller went on to be charged with three runs on the afternoon, and he lasted just 4.1 innings, throwing 96 pitches over that span. His ERA sits at 5.49 in June after Saturday's no-decision, and he's now allowed a home run in three of his last four starts after not allowing one over his first five starts to open the season.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Bounces back for fourth win

    Miller moved to 4-3 in Monday's 8-1 win over the Marlins, allowing an earned run on one hit and three walks over six innings. He struck out six. The promising right-hander had been put through the ringer by the dangerous lineups of both the Yankees and Rangers in his last two starts, so Monday's stellar effort was a particularly welcome sight. Miller generated 12 swinging strikes overall across his 89 pitches, with his only hiccup coming in the form of a solo home run he surrendered to Nick Fortes in the fifth inning. Miller lowered his ERA and WHIP to 4.06 and 0.92, respectively, and his first opportunity to build on the rebound showing is slated to come against the White Sox this weekend.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Takes second loss

    Miller (3-2) took the loss against the Yankees on Monday, allowing eight runs on 11 hits over 4.2 innings. He struck out three. Miller had the worst start of his young career on Monday. The rookie had allowed just four runs over his first five starts combined before this meltdown against New York, and this was the first time he didn't get through the fifth inning. The right-hander's next chance to redeem himself is tentatively scheduled to be against Texas on the road next week.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Delivers quality start

    Miller (2-1) allowed three runs on four hits and a walk over 6.1 innings against Atlanta on Friday. He struck out four and was tagged with the loss. After allowing a run in the first inning, Miller cruised through five scoreless frames. He gave up just one single during that span and retired nine straight batters on two occasions. The rookie righty left in the seventh with two runners on base and was charged with both as they came around to score. Miller had given up just one run through 19 frames before Friday's contest and he still owns a terrific 1.42 ERA. However, after 10 punchouts in his MLB debut, he's recorded just 12 strikeouts over his last three starts. Miller is currently expected to face the Athletics -- the same team he debuted against -- at home next week.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Possible waiver wire pickups

    Second verse, same as the first. Miller once again limited a major-league club to just two hits in six innings, only this time it was the Astros rather than the Athletics. He didn't pile up whiffs at quite the same rate, but all eight came on his fastball, which appears to be an absolute banger with the optimal vertical approach angle for the modern game. The fact he leans on it 70 percent of the time could become an issue as he makes his way around the league, but the way to get away with having so limited an arsenal is to have a fastball that good. And given the state of pitching around the league right now, what we've seen from Miller should be enough for you to make your move, provided you haven't already.
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  • Mariners' Bryce Miller: Draws another start, as expected

    Miller is listed as the Mariners' starting pitcher for Sunday's game against the Astros at T-Mobile Park. Unsurprisingly, Miller will remain in the rotation after he delivered a gem in his MLB debut Tuesday, striking out 10 while allowing one run and only two baserunners across six innings in a no-decision against Oakland. The young right-hander will draw a more formidable opponent this weekend, but the promise he displayed in his debut should make Miller a decent fantasy option. He has a path to a full-time role with Robbie Ray (elbow) having been shut down for the season after undergoing Tommy John surgery.
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