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Slugger Aaron Judge takes another shot at breaking the American League single-season home run record when he and the New York Yankees (97-61) take on the Texas Rangers (66-92) on Monday. Since tying Roger Maris' AL record with his 61st home run on Wednesday, Judge has gone homerless in three straight games. On Monday, he and the Yankees face the Rangers' Martin Perez (12-7, 2.93). New York is a -155 favorite in the latest Yankees vs. Rangers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Texas is a +130 underdog. The over/under for runs scored is eight.

First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET from Choctaw Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The game is one of 15 on the MLB schedule for Monday. Elsewhere in the majors, the Braves can clinch the NL East title with a win over the Marlins, and the Phillies can clinch their first postseason berth since 2011 with a victory against the Astros. Before making any MLB picks or parlays, be sure to see the predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it enters the penultimate week of the regular season on a 14-3 run on top-rated money-line picks, returning almost $900 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in four confident MLB best bets for Monday. They all involve games at 6:40 p.m. ET or later, so there's still time to get these MLB picks in. If you successfully parlay the picks, you'd be looking at a payout of almost 12-1. You can only see the model's MLB picks at SportsLine

Top MLB picks today

The model, which ran 10,000 simulations on each of Monday's games, likes the Chicago White Sox (-115) to knock off Minnesota. The Twins (77-82) have struggled over the last month, going 10-21 in their last 31 games and dropping from second in the division to fourth. Over the same time, the White Sox (79-80) are 16-14.

Chicago is one of the best hitting teams in all of baseball as it has a .256 batting average, which ranks fifth in the majors. First baseman/designated hitter Jose Abreu leads the team and ranks seventh in the majors with a .304 average. He is 5-of-14 (.357) over his last four games. See who else to back right here.

How to make MLB picks and parlays for Monday

The model also locked in three other best bets for Monday, including a play on a big AL underdog. You can see the model's MLB Monday best bets and parlay only at SportsLine.

What MLB picks should you target for a payout of almost 12-1? And what AL underdog does the model like on Monday? Visit SportsLine now to see the MLB best bets from an advanced model that is on a 14-3 run on top-rated money-line picks.