The Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks begin their playoff journeys on Tuesday evening. Milwaukee and Arizona meet for Game 1 of a best-of-three Wild Card Series, and American Family Field hosts the matchup. The Brewers won the NL Central this season, winning 92 games to earn the franchise's fifth postseason trip in the last six seasons. The Diamondbacks finished with 84 wins, earning a Wild Card berth and a return to the playoffs for the first time since 2017.
SportsLine consensus lists Milwaukee as -177 money line favorites (risk $177 to win $100) in the latest Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds, and first pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored is 8. Before making any Brewers vs. Diamondbacks picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the 2023 MLB playoffs 91-73 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Brewers vs. Diamondbacks and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Brewers:
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers money line: Brewers -177, Diamondbacks +149
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers over/under: 8 runs
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers run line: Brewers -1.5 (+120)
- Arizona: The Diamondbacks are 41-40 in road games
- Milwaukee: The Brewers are 49-32 in home games
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Arizona has tremendous team speed, headlined by top-two marks in triples (144) and stolen bases (166) among National League teams. The Diamondbacks also avoid strikeouts at an elite level, and Corbin Carroll is a breakout star. The 23-year-old became the first MLB rookie in history with at least 25 home runs and 50 stolen bases in a season, and Carroll led the National League with 10 triples.
While Arizona is facing a dynamic opposing pitcher in Corbin Burnes, Burnes allowed seven earned runs in his last outing against Arizona in June, and the Brewers are just 1-7 in their last eight playoff games. The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Brandon Pfaadt in Game 1, and he recorded eight strikeouts in 5.2 scoreless innings in his last start on September 27. He will face a Milwaukee offense that ranked in the bottom five of the NL in hits, doubles, home runs, batting average and slugging percentage in 2023. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Brewers
Milwaukee ended the regular season on a tremendous note. Not only did the Brewers win the NL Central title, but Milwaukee won 27 of the final 40 games, posting MLB's best record over that sample. The Brewers also stand to benefit from home-field advantage, and Arizona has lost seven consecutive road playoff games, last winning a postseason game away from home in 2007. Milwaukee finished in the top three of the NL with a 9.7% walk rate, and this could be a friendly matchup against Pfaadt. He had a 5.72 ERA this season, allowing a .862 OPS to opponents and 2.06 home runs per nine innings.
On the other side, Milwaukee has confidence in 2021 Cy Young winner Burnes. He finished with top-10 marks in the National League in ERA (3.39), WHIP (1.069), innings pitched (193.2), and strikeouts (200), and Burnes allowed zero runs in three of his final four regular season starts. For good measure, Burnes owns a career 1.20 ERA in postseason action, and he boasts an extreme experience advantage over his starting pitching counterpart in Game 1. See which team to back here.
How to make Brewers vs. Diamondbacks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.7 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Diamondbacks vs. Brewers, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 91-73 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.