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Spring training camps are underway across Arizona and Florida, and, this coming weekend, Cactus League and Grapefruit League games will begin, with two spring training games on the schedule for Friday (Rangers vs. Royals and Mariners vs. Padres). The rest of the league begins its exhibition schedule Saturday. I can't wait. Real baseball is right around the corner.

With actual baseball games soon to be played, teams across the league are looking forward to welcoming back players who missed most or all of last season with injuries. Injuries are an unfortunate part of the game, and sometimes they rob a team of an important piece for much of the year. When an injury happens, all you can do adjust on the fly and try to overcome it, like the Braves did when they won the 2021 World Series despite losing Ronald Acuña Jr. in July.

Several players will return from long-term injuries this coming season and make an impact on the postseason races. There is no better example than Justin Verlander a year ago. Verlander started Opening Day in 2020, then blew out and his elbow and missed the rest of the season and all of 2021 with Tommy John surgery. He returned last season and won the AL Cy Young in the process of leading the Astros to a World Series title. It's hard to come back from an injury and have more impact than that.

With that in mind, let's look at players expected to return from major injuries this year who could give their clubs a significant lift and be a factor in the postseason race. We're going to focus on players who missed the majority of 2022, so guys like Byron Buxton, who played 92 games last year, and Kyle Hendricks, who made 16 starts, don't make our cut. We're going to focus on players who missed at least half the season and were on the injured list when 2022 ended, which means Anthony Rendon's late-season activation takes him out of our mix.

We're also looking at players expected to return on or around Opening Day. That means Bryce Harper is not included. He had Tommy John surgery in November and is not due back until sometime around the All-Star break. This also applies to guys like Garrett Crochet and John Means, who are both expected to return from their Tommy John surgeries at midseason. 

Now that we've set our ground rules, here are 10 notable players expected to return from long-term injuries this season, ranked in order of how important they are to their team's chances of contention.

MLB players returning from injuries in 2023
1
Chris Sale Boston Red Sox SP

Injury: Right wrist surgery (fracture)

Calling it a fractured wrist is technically true, but it's only part of the story. A comeback line drove broke Chris Sale's finger on July 17 in his second start back from a broken rib. Then, while on the injured list with said broken finger, he fell off his bike and broke his wrist. Between all that and Tommy John surgery, Sale threw only 48 1/3 innings from 2020-22. He has not been healthy and dominant in the same season since 2018, though he is healthy now, and a full participant in early spring workouts. The Red Sox have built a high-variance roster and Sale is very much a part of that. If he's healthy and effective, he could help Boston contend for a postseason sport. If not, they have almost no path to October.

Lefty James Paxton deserves a mention here as well. He had Tommy John surgery in April 2021 and has not appeared in the majors since. Paxton was close to returning last year when he suffered a lat strain in August. He's said to be healthy and on track to be ready for Opening Day. Like Sale, a healthy Paxton would do wonders for Boston's contention hopes in 2023.

2
Fernando Tatis San Diego Padres SS

Injury: Left wrist surgery (fracture) and left shoulder surgery (torn labrum)

I am kind of cheating here. Fernando Tatis Jr. missed all of last season with a pair of wrist surgeries and shoulder surgery, yes, though he also tested positive for a performance-enhancing drug and was hit with an 80-game suspension. While serving said suspension he opted to have his troublesome shoulder repaired, and also undergo a second wrist surgery to further stabilize the joint (the first wrist surgery was last offseason). Tatís is eligible to return April 20, in San Diego's 21st game of the season, and he recently started swinging and hitting as part of his rehab work. The Padres made it to the NLCS without Tatis last year, but he is the type of player who can swing the balance of power in the NL West race and help put San Diego over the top in October. It remains to be seen how productive Tatis will be when he returns. The bet here is he's still a dynamic, game-changing player.

3
Tim Anderson Chicago White Sox SS

Injury: Left middle finger surgery (torn sagittal band)

Groin and finger issues limited Tim Anderson to 79 games last season, including none after Aug. 6. He had season-ending finger surgery soon thereafter and should be ready to go for Opening Day. With Anderson in the lineup last year, the White Sox went 42-37. Without him, they went 39-44. That overstates Anderson's impact, but make no mistake, the White Sox are much better team with him at shortstop and in the leadoff spot. He is one of the best hitters for average in a sport dominated by strikeouts, and the drop off between Anderson and his replacement (Leury García) is massive. The AL Central is winnable and Chicago's best chance at a division title involves Anderson doing his thing for 150 games.

4
Kenta Maeda Minnesota Twins SP

Injury: Tommy John surgery

Three years ago, Kenta Maeda was the AL Cy Young runner-up during the 60-game pandemic season. He then slogged through 2021 while dealing with leg and elbow issues and eventually underwent Tommy John surgery that September. Maeda spent last season rehabbing -- there was a chance he could have pitched for the Twins in September, though they opted not to push him once they fell out of the race -- and is a full go in spring training. The Twins have built their rotation around very good starters while lacking a bonafide ace. I'm not sure Maeda can pitch at an ace level in Year 1 with his new elbow ligament, but Minnesota is certainly better off with him in the rotation than not.

There are a few other injured Twins we could have considered here in addition to Maeda (and Buxton). Alex Kirilloff had his second right wrist surgery in as many years last August and Royce Lewis tore his right ACL for the second time in 18 months last June. Also, don't sleep on righty Jorge Alcala. He was limited to two appearances last year by an elbow injury that required a non-Tommy John surgery procedure. Alcala, Kirilloff, and Lewis are all expected to be a factor for Minnesota in 2023.

5
Mike Soroka Atlanta Braves SP

Injury: Right Achilles surgery

It has been a long time since we last saw Mike Soroka pitch in a major-league game. He blew out his Achilles tendon fielding a ball on Aug. 3, 2020, then tore it again while simply walking through the clubhouse in June 2021. Soroka has completed his rehab and he made six minor-league rehab starts late last season, setting him up to compete for a rotation spot this spring. It's hard to believe, but Soroka is still won't turn 26 until August. In his only full MLB season (2019), he was the NL Rookie of the Year runner-up and he finished sixth in the NL Cy Young voting. Can Soroka still pitch at that level following two Achilles tears? It remains to be seen. If he can, he is the caliber of player who could vault the Braves ahead of the Mets and make them the clear favorite in the NL East.

6
Michael Conforto San Francisco Giants RF

Injury: Right shoulder surgery

Michael Conforto hurt his shoulder diving for a ball during an offseason workout last January, an injury that required surgery and led to him remaining unemployed all year. No team signed him as a free agent following the owner-initiated lockout, so he spent the year rehabbing at home before the Giants signed him to a two-year contract (with an opt out) this offseason. You have to go back to 2019 for the last time Conforto was a clearly above-average player in a full 162-game season. It's been a while. That said, he turns 30 in March, so it's not like he's over the hill, plus he was a darn good player for a long time earlier in his career. I'm not sure the Giants can compete for the NL West title this year, but a healthy Conforto could put them over the top for a wild-card spot. Ditto right-hander Anthony DeSclafani, who was limited to five starts by ankle surgery last year.

7
Mitch Garver Texas Rangers DH

Injury: Right forearm surgery (torn flexor tendon)

The Rangers invested heavily in their rotation this offseason, though they have not touched their offense at all, the same offense that finished 12th in runs. That's not bad, but it's not exactly high-powered either, and Texas received little from left fielders (.186/.253/.256!) or designated hitters (.227/.304/.381). Mitch Garver can't do anything about left field, but he can help at DH. His injury limited him to 54 games last season and also allowed Jonah Heim, who rated as one of the best pitch-framers in baseball, to emerge as the everyday catcher. Heim's prowess allows the Rangers to slot Garver in at DH most of the time this year. That could help keep him healthy and productive. This is a player who averaged 28 homers per 162 games while dealing with the rigors of catching. With less wear and tear as a DH, Garver could have even more impact, which would be a nice boost for a Texas team looking to get back into the postseason.

8
Mike Zunino Cleveland Guardians C

Injury: Thoracic outlet syndrome surgery

No team struck out as infrequently as the Guardians in 2022. They fanned in only 18.2 percent of their plate appearances, the lowest rate in baseball by 1.3 percentage points. The last team with a lower strikeout rate in a full 162-game season was the 2017 Astros (17.3 percent), and that team's legacy is, uh, complicated. Anyway, it's a bit amusing then that Cleveland turned to Mike Zunino behind the plate. He owns a career 34.7 percent strikeout rate, one of the highest in the game since his debut in 2013. Zunino offers power (28 homers per 162 games in his career) and very good defense, and after receiving a ghastly .180/.267/.267 batting line from their catchers last year, I'm guessing the Guardians will overlook Zunino's strikeouts to get more production overall. The AL Central is there for the taking and Zunino, even as flawed as he is, has a chance to be a massive upgrade behind the plate for the defending division champs.

9
Michael Brantley Houston Astros DH

Injury: Right shoulder surgery (torn labrum)

Shoulder trouble hampered Michael Brantley much of last year and ended his season on June 26. He had surgery a few weeks later and the Astros won the World Series without him, which is a testament to the quality of the rest of their roster. That isn't to say Brantley is a luxury or nonessential player. Houston's chances of repeating as World Series champs -- MLB has not had a repeat champion since the 1998-2000 Yankees -- are better with a healthy Brantley. I have Brantley this low in the rankings only because the Astros are so good, and I think they're AL West favorites with or without him. That isn't intended to diminish Brantley as a player though. He is excellent, and having him for a full season in 2023 after only 64 games in 2022 makes the Astros that much more formidable.

10
Daniel Hudson Los Angeles Dodgers RP

Injury: Left knee surgery (torn ACL)

Daniel Hudson had two Tommy John surgeries in the span of 11 months earlier in his career in addition to other elbow woes and shoulder trouble. Then, last year, he tore up his knee coming off the mound to field a weak tapper. The Dodgers don't have quite as much pitching depth in the past -- that isn't to say they're lacking on the mound, only that the list of names doesn't jump off the page the same way as it once did -- and Hudson could occupy an important late-inning role in the bullpen. He is expected to be ready for Opening Day or soon thereafter, and could assume a sneaky heavy high-leverage workload. The Dodgers do not appear to be as formidable as the last few seasons and a healthy Hudson is the sort of veteran bullpen arm who could make the late innings of close games a little less nerve-wracking for Los Angeles.

Other notable players coming back from major injuries: SS Nick Ahmed, Diamondbacks; LF Kris Bryant, Rockies; CF Jazz Chisholm, Marlins; LHP Joey Lucchesi, Mets; IF Adalberto Mondesi, Red Sox; LHP Drew Pomeranz, Padres; RHP Sixto Sánchez, Marlins; RHP Stephen Strasburg, Nationals; RHP Spencer Turnbull, Tigers; RHP Kirby Yates, Braves