The Los Angeles Lakers held off the Orlando Magic on Sunday to remain above the play-in line in the No. 10 spot. Had the Lakers lost, they would've fallen to No. 12 in the West. There is no margin for error with just two games in the loss column separating the No. 6 Mavericks and No. 12 Pelicans.
Speaking of no room for error, the No. 7 Warriors, who can't win a game on the road to save their life, are tied in the loss column with the No. 11 Jazz and just one up on the No. 12 Pelicans with two games remaining on this road trip. The final game of that trip is against No. 6 Dallas, which leads Golden State by one in the loss column.
That game will also decide the season tiebreaker between Dallas and Golden State.
Below is a comprehensive snapshot of where things stand in the Western Conference playoff and play-in races entering play on Sunday. This post will update daily throughout the remainder of the regular season or until all seeds are clinched.
Reminder on how the play-in tournament works: No. 7 plays No. 8 and No. 9 plays No. 10. The winner of the 7-8 game gets the No. 7 seed, while the loser plays the winner of the 9-10 game for the No. 8 seed.
READ: Eastern Conference playoff picture
NOTE: Our SportsLine model, developed by predictive data engineer Stephen Oh, simulates the entire season 10,000 times to produce the most unbiased and precise projections imaginable.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
1. Denver Nuggets (48-24)
- Projected seed: 1
- Current first-round matchup: TBD
- Tiebreaker vs. Memphis: Nuggets have clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Sacramento: Season series tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix: Nuggets lead season series 2-0 with two to play
2. Sacramento Kings (43-27)
- Projected seed: 3
- Current first-round matchup: Winner of Warriors-Timberwolves play-in
- Tiebreaker vs. Denver: Tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Memphis: Kings currently own via conference win percentage
- Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Warriors lead 2-1 with one to play
3. Memphis Grizzlies (43-27)
- Projected seed: 2
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Mavericks
- Tiebreaker vs. Denver: Nuggets have clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Sacramento: Kings currently own via conference record
- Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix: Grizzlies own via division leader
4. Phoenix Suns (38-33)
- Projected seed: 4
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Clippers
- Tiebreaker vs. Memphis: Grizzlies own via division leader
- Tiebreaker vs. Sacramento: Phoenix leads 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Suns have clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Dallas: Suns currently own via conference win percentage
- Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
5. Los Angeles Clippers (38-34)
- Projected seed: 5
- Current first-round matchup: at Suns
- Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Clippers lead via division win percentage
- Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves: Wolves clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Dallas: Mavericks currently own via conference record
- Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Pelicans lead 1-0 with two to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Utah: Jazz clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Clippers clinched
6. Dallas Mavericks (36-35)
- Projected seed: 7
- Current first-round matchup: at Grizzlies
- Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix: Suns owns via conference win percentage
- Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves: Wolves clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Dallas currently owns via conference record
- Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Dallas leads 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Utah: Dallas leads 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Mavericks clinched
Play-In Tournament
7. Golden State Warriors (36-36)
- Projected seed: 6
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Timberwolves (Play-in)
- Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix: Suns have clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves: Warriors lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Dallas: Tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Clippers lead via division win percentage
- Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Lakers clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Pelicans lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Utah: Warriors clinched
8. Oklahoma City Thunder (35-36)
- Projected seed: 10
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Lakers (play-in)
- Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Pelicans clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Utah: OKC leads 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Portland: OKC clinched
9. Minnesota Timberwolves (35-37)
- Projected seed: 9
- Current first-round matchup: at Warriors (play-in)
- Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Warriors lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Dallas: Wolves clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Wolves clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Utah: Wolves currently own via division record
- Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Wolves clinched
10. Los Angeles Lakers (35-37)
- Projected seed: 8
- Current first-round matchup: at Thunder (play-in)
- Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Clippers clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Warriors: Lakers clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves: Wolves clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Lakers clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Utah: Jazz lead 2-0 with two to play
- Tiebreaker vs. OKC: Tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Portland: Blazers currently own via conference win percentage
Outside Looking In
11. Utah Jazz (34-36)
- Projected seed: Lottery
- Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Jazz Clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Jazz lead 2-0 with two to play
- Tiebreaker vs. OKC: Thunder lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Portland: Blazers lead 2-1 with one to play
12. New Orleans Pelicans (34-37)
- Projected seed: Lottery
- Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Pelicans lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves: Tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Dallas: Mavericks lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Utah: Jazz clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Lakers clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. OKC: Pelicans clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Portland: Pelicans clinched
13. Portland Trail Blazers (31-40)
- Projected seed: Lottery
- Tiebreaker vs. Utah: Blazers lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Blazers currently own via conference win percentage
- Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Pelicans clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. OKC: Thunder clinched