The Brooklyn Nets host the Denver Nuggets in a matinee contest on Sunday. The Nets are 39-31 overall and 19-13 at home, including a win over Denver a week ago on the road. The Nuggets are 47-24 overall and 17-18 on the road. Denver is on the second game of a back-to-back, leaving an uncertain injury report. Ben Simmons (back/knee) is out for Brooklyn.
Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Brooklyn. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Nuggets as 2-point road favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 228 in the latest Nuggets vs. Nets odds. Before you make any Nets vs. Nuggets picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2022-23 NBA season a stunning 64-33 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,700. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Nets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nets vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs. Nets spread: Nuggets -2
- Nuggets vs. Nets over/under: 228 points
- Nuggets vs. Nets money line: Nuggets -130, Nets +110
- DEN: The Nuggets are 5-4 against the spread with no rest between games
- BKN: The Nets are 16-15-1 against the spread in home games
- Nuggets vs. Nets picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Nuggets can cover
The Nuggets are led by the two-time reigning NBA MVP in Nikola Jokic. Denver is out-scoring opponents by more than 12 points per 100 possessions with Jokic on the floor this season, and his individual statistics are transcendent. He is averaging 24.8 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.9 assists per game, while shooting 63.3% from the field and 39.4% from 3-point range. Denver is elite on the offensive end as a team, scoring 1.175 points per possession.
The Nuggets are also in the top three of the league in shooting efficiency, including 50.8% from the field and 38.6% from 3-point range this season. Denver produces an assist on 66.6% of field goals, the No. 2 mark in the NBA, and the Nuggets are in the top two in both assists per game (29.2) and assist-to-turnover ratio (2.00). With 16.5 fast break points and 54.9 points in the paint per game, Denver keeps consistent pressure on opponents.
Why the Nets can cover
Mikal Bridges is enjoying a renaissance in Brooklyn. In 15 games since joining the Nets, Bridges is averaging 26.1 points and 4.7 rebounds per game, and Bridges is making 50% of field goal attempts and more than 44% of 3-point attempts. He is the centerpiece of an above-average offense, and the Nets are in the top four of the NBA in field goal percentage (49.1%) and 3-point percentage (38.3%). Brooklyn is also in the top quartile of the league in 2-point percentage (56.1%) and free throw percentage (79.8%), with the Nets averaging 15.0 fast break points and 25.3 assists per game.
On defense, the Nets lead the league with 6.3 blocked shots per game, and Brooklyn is elite in opponent shooting. Brooklyn holds opponents to 46.1% shooting from the field and 51.4% from 2-point range, and the Nets have a top-five mark in assists allowed, yielding only 23.2 per game.
How to make Nets vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting 238 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Nets spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.