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The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Indiana Pacers at 7 p.m. ET Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Indiana is 33-44 overall and 19-19 at home, while OKC is 38-39 overall and 15-23 on the road. The Thunder have won the last two meetings which followed a five-game win streak by Indiana in the head-to-head series.

Oklahoma City is favored by 4 points in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 237.5. Before entering any Thunder vs. Pacers picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 24 of the 2022-23 NBA season a stunning 70-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Pacers vs. Thunder. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Pacers:

  • Pacers vs. Thunder spread: Pacers +4
  • Pacers vs. Thunder over/under: 237.5 points
  • Pacers vs. Thunder money line: Indiana +140, Oklahoma City -165
  • Pacers vs. Thunder picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Pacers

The game between the Pacers and the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday was not particularly close, with Indiana falling 149-136. Indiana's defeat shouldn't obscure the performances of rookie Bennedict Mathurin, who had 29 points along with nine boards, and small forward Aaron Nesmith, who shot 5-for-5 from beyond the arc and finished with 22 points.

It was the fourth straight defeat for Indiana as it has slipped out of contention for the NBA play-in tournament. The Pacers are active defensively, ranking second in the NBA in blocks and ninth in steals, but it hasn't translated to keeping opponents off the scoreboard as they rank 29th in points allowed. All-Star Tyrese Haliburton (ankle/elbow) is out on Friday, while Myles Turner (ankle) is questionable.

What you need to know about the Thunder

Meanwhile, Oklahoma City escaped with a win on Wednesday against the Detroit Pistons by the margin of a single free throw, 107-106. Oklahoma City's small forward Jalen Williams looked sharp as he had 27 points and six assists in addition to eight rebounds, and he made the buzzer-beating game-winner to avoid a defeat to the league's worst team.

OKC is a year or two ahead of schedule with one of the youngest rosters in the NBA, but the team is in the thick of contention for a playoff spot. However, the team may be without its best player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle), who is questionable and has missed the Thunder's last two games. OKC has managed a 6-7 straight-up record without Gilgeous-Alexander and a 5-7-1 ATS mark without him.

How to make Thunder vs. Pacers picks

The model has simulated Pacers vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Thunder vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Pacers vs. Thunder spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.