The Miami Dolphins will try to maintain their grip on the AFC's No. 1 seed when they host the Tennessee Titans as part of a Monday Night Football doubleheader in NFL Week 14. The Dolphins (9-3) took over the top spot based on tiebreakers after their 45-15 dismantling of the Washington Commanders last Sunday. They are looking to win the AFC East for the first time since 2008 and led the Buffalo Bills by three games entering the week. The Titans (4-8) lost 31-28 in overtime to AFC South rival Indianapolis last Sunday and are last in their division. Packers running back Aaron Jones is inactive with a knee injury.

Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Dolphins vs. Titans odds list Miami as a 14-point favorite and the over/under for total points scored is 46. Before you make any Titans vs. Dolphins picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-128 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-20 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 31-12 straight up the last three weeks.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Titans vs. Dolphins 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Dolphins vs. Titans:

  • Dolphins vs. Titans spread: Miami -14
  • Dolphins vs. Titans over/under: 46 points
  • Dolphins vs. Titans money line: Tennessee +563, Miami +817
  • TEN: Titans are 15-11-1 ATS as underdogs the past three seasons
  • MIA: Dolphins are 10-5 ATS as home favorites the past three seasons
  • Dolphins vs. Titans picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Dolphins vs. Titans live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Dolphins can cover

Miami is 9-0 straight-up and 8-1 against the spread against teams at .500 or worse with an average victory margin of 18.6 points. The Dolphins have the league's No. 1 passing offense (285 yards per game), while the run game (143) ranks second. Tua Tagovailoa (3,420 passing yards, 24 TDs) leads an attack that is loaded with speed. Tyreek Hill has 1,481 receiving yards and is on pace to become the first 2,000-yard receiver in league history.

Running backs Raheem Mostert (994 total yards, 16 TDs) and De'Von Achane (635 total yards in six games) also can break loose at any time. The Dolphins average 6.9 yards per play, which would rank second all-time in the Super Bowl era. Tennessee allows 5.5 per play (19th in NFL) and is 22nd against the pass (231 yards per game). The Miami defense allows 300 total yards per game (sixth in NFL) and has 41 sacks, tied for third-most in the league. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Titans can cover

Tennessee is 5-7 against the spread this season and three of its four victories have come as underdogs. The Titans lost a fumble on a punt return, had a punt blocked and missed an extra point but still nearly won last week. Rookie Will Levis threw for 224 yards and a touchdown and Derrick Henry rushed for 102 yards. Star wideout DeAndre Hopkins had 75 receiving yards and tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo had 62 on three catches.

Hopkins averages 15.5 yards per catch and has 774 yards on the season. Backup running back Tyjae Spears averages 5.0 per rush and is second on the team with 33 receptions. The Titans' defense is formidable up front and while Jeffrey Simmons (5.5 sacks) is out, Denico Autry (nine) and Harold Landry (5.5) should get pressure on Tua Tagovailoa. Tennessee allows 3.7 yards per rushing attempt, fourth-best in the league, and allowed just 55 rushing yards last week. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Dolphins vs. Titans picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting 48 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine

So who wins Titans vs. Dolphins on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Titans vs. Dolphins spread to back, all from the model on a 176-128 roll on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.